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Tuesday, December 3, 2024
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What to expect in the U.S. midterm elections on Nov. 8

One advantage the Democrats possess in this race is they already control the House. Incumbency matters. What’s more, the abortion issue has motivated single and college-educated women, a key Democratic constituency.

The Capitol Hill Building in Washington, D.C. According to recent polls, the issues that dominate right now in most American states are the economy, inflation, crime, justice, immigration, and border chaos. All these issues, by the way, favour the Republicans, writes Gerry Nicholls. The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Opinion
BY GERRY NICHOLLS
October 27, 2022
Opinion | BY GERRY NICHOLLS | October 27, 2022

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Trump’s poll numbers are actually increasing

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J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance, pictured, is U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump's running mate. Photograph courtesy of Commons Wikimedia/Gage Skidmore

The GOP’s Vance gambit

OpinionBY GERRY NICHOLLS
  • J.D. Vance is uniquely situated to speak to those Americans who might have hated or feared Trump, but who are now considering supporting the Republican candidate. He is giving them permission to change their minds.
J.D. Vance

The GOP’s Vance gambit

OpinionBY GERRY NICHOLLS
  • J.D. Vance is uniquely situated to speak to those Americans who might have hated or feared Trump, but who are now considering supporting the Republican candidate. He is giving them permission to change their minds.
U.S. President Joe Biden, left, and Donald Trump. The first debate will be on June 27 on CNN and three more will be held by the Commission on Presidential Debates in September and October in Texas, Pennsylvania, and Utah. The Hill Times photograph by Sam Garcia and courtesy of Wikimedia Commons

Trump’s poll numbers are actually increasing

OpinionBY SHEILA COPPS
  • Joe Biden is banking on the fact that Donald Trump’s daily one-liners will be overshadowed by the substance required to sustain a full debate. 

Trump’s poll numbers are actually increasing

OpinionBY SHEILA COPPS
  • Joe Biden is banking on the fact that Donald Trump’s daily one-liners will be overshadowed by the substance required to sustain a full debate. 
Donald Trump, left, and U.S. President Joe Biden. The New York Times/Siena poll also shows that Biden’s net favourable rating is even worse than Trump’s, as it currently sits at around negative 21 (38 per cent view him positively, 59 view him negatively), meaning he’s less popular now than Trump was four years ago.  Photographs courtesy of Wikimedia Commons/Flickr

America’s worrying political trend 

OpinionBY GERRY NICHOLLS
  • No matter who wins the presidential election on Nov. 5, the majority of Americans will probably feel like they lost, and that’s not good for democracy.

America’s worrying political trend 

OpinionBY GERRY NICHOLLS
  • No matter who wins the presidential election on Nov. 5, the majority of Americans will probably feel like they lost, and that’s not good for democracy.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, left; NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet, and Green Co-Leader Elizabeth May. The next federal election will be won by whichever political party puts together a campaign which best reflects that famous slogan, 'It’s the economy, stupid.' The Hill Times photographs by Andrew Meade and Sam Garcia

Politics and the five-issue clusters

OpinionBY GERRY NICHOLLS
  • In a tight race, other issues could play a pivotal part in deciding who wins and who loses. Maybe a new slogan should be: 'It’s not just the economy, stupid.' 

Politics and the five-issue clusters

OpinionBY GERRY NICHOLLS
  • In a tight race, other issues could play a pivotal part in deciding who wins and who loses. Maybe a new slogan should be: 'It’s not just the economy, stupid.' 
Not-so-sleepy Joe: U.S. President Joe Biden's Democrats outperformed the historical trend in the Nov. 8, 2022, midterm elections. According to The Cook Political Report’s Amy Walter, the election hinged on what she termed the 'meh voters,' defined as independents, Americans not registered as either Republicans or Democrats. Photograph courtesy of Flickr

Chasing ‘meh’ voters 

OpinionBY GERRY NICHOLLS
  • The much-anticipated Republican 'red wave' was more like a 'red trickle.' The question is, what happened? Why did the supposed Republican juggernaut fizzle out? 

Chasing ‘meh’ voters 

OpinionBY GERRY NICHOLLS
  • The much-anticipated Republican 'red wave' was more like a 'red trickle.' The question is, what happened? Why did the supposed Republican juggernaut fizzle out? 

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