Swing Ridings

Swing ridings: where the winning candidate won with a very slim margin of victory.The ridings are heavily targeted by the runners-up. Winning party is shown in the parentheses. Up to 30 are shown, with a maximum margin of victory of 15%. * Indicates incumbent not running again Liberal Targeted Swing Ridings: 1. Simcoe-Grey, Ont. (Cons.) 0.2% 2. Cambridge, Ont. (Cons.) 0.4% 3. Regina-Lumsden-Lake Centre, Sask. (Cons.) 0.4% 4. Kildonan-St. Paul, Man. (Cons.) 0.8% 5. Burnaby-New Westminster, B.C. (NDP) 0.8% 6. Newton-North Delta, B.C. (Cons.) 1.2% 7. Saskatoon-Humboldt, Sask. (Cons.) 1.2% 8. Newmarket-Aurora, Ont. (Libs.) 1.3% (Cons. MP Belinda Stronach later joined the Libs.) 9. Niagara West-Glanbrook, Ont. (Cons.) 1.3% 10. Essex, Ont. (Cons.) 1.6% 11.Timmins-James Bay, Ont. (NDP) 1.8% 12. Sault Ste. Marie, Ont. (NDP) 1.8% 13. Chicoutimi-Le Fjord, Que. (BQ) 1.9% 14. Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia, Man. (Cons.) 1.9% 15. Abitibi-Baie-James-Nunavik-Eeyou, Que. (BQ) 2.0% 16. Burnaby-Douglas, B.C. (NDP) 2.1% 17. Niagara Falls, Ont. (Cons.) 2.2% 18. Halifax, N.S. (NDP) 2.4% 19. Durham, Ont. (Cons.) 2.4% 20. Oshawa, Ont. (Cons.) 2.7% 21. West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Sea to Sky Country, B.C. (Cons.) 2.8%* 22. Haldimand-Norfolk, Ont. (Cons.) 3.3% 23. Dufferin-Caledon, Ont. (Cons.) 3.8% 24. St. John's South-Mount Pearl, Nfld. (Cons.) 4.3% 25. Wellington-Halton Hills, Ont. (Cons.) 4.6% 26. St. John's East, Nfld. (Cons.) 4.8% 27. Prince Edward-Hastings, Ont. (Cons.) 4.8% 28.Toronto-Danforth, Ont. (NDP) 5.0% 29. Churchill, Man. (NDP) 5.1% 30.Vaudreuil-Soulanges, Que. (BQ) 5.5% Conservative Targeted Swing Ridings: 1. Edmonton-Mill Woods-Beaumont, Alta. (Lib.) 0.3%* 2. Lambton-Kent-Middlesex, Ont. (Lib.) 0.3%* 3. Northumberland-Quinte West, Ont. (Lib.) 0.6% 4. Chatham-Kent-Essex, Ont. (Lib.) 0.9%* 5. Edmonton Centre, Alta. (Lib.) 1.4% 6. Ottawa West-Nepean, Ont. (Lib.) 2.4%* 7. Barrie, Ont. (Lib.) 2.6% 8. North Vancouver, B.C. (Lib) 3.6% 9. Ottawa-Orleans, Ont. (Lib) 4.7% 10. Brant, Ont. (Lib.) 5.0% 11. Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale, Ont. (Lib.) 5.1% 12. Nipissing-Timiskaming, Ont. (Lib.) 5.2% 13. Brampton West, Ont. (Lib.) 5.3% 14. Burnaby-New Westminster, B.C. (NDP) 5.4% 15. Hamilton Mountain, Ont. (Lib) 5.5%* 16. Simcoe North, Ont. (Lib.) 5.7%* 17. St. Catharines, Ont. (Lib.) 5.7% 18. Bonavista-Gander-Grand Falls-Windsor, Nfld. (Lib.) 6.6% 19. Burlington, Ont. (Lib.) 6.7% 20. Kitchener-Conestoga, Ont. (Lib.) 6.9% 21. Louis-Saint-Laurent, Que. (BQ) 7.3% 22. Parry Sound-Muskoka, Ont. (Lib.) 7.5% 23.Tobique-Mactaquac, N.B. (Lib.) 8.6% 24. Whitby-Oshawa, Ont. (Lib.) 9.0% 25. Ottawa South, Ont. (Lib.) 9.0% 26. Richmond, B.C. (Lib.) 9.2% 27. West Nova, N.S. (Lib.) 9.6% 28. Saint John, N.B. (Lib.) 9.7% 29. Halton, Ont. (Lib.) 10.0% 30. Glengarry-Prescott-Russell, Ont. (Lib.) 10.4%* Swing ridings: where the winning candidate won with a very slim margin of victory.The ridings are heavily targeted by the runners-up. Winning party is shown in the parentheses. Up to 30 are shown, with a maximum margin of victory of 15%. * Indicates incumbent not running again Liberal Targeted Swing Ridings: 1. Simcoe-Grey, Ont. (Cons.) 0.2% 2. Cambridge, Ont. (Cons.) 0.4% 3. Regina-Lumsden-Lake Centre, Sask. (Cons.) 0.4% 4. Kildonan-St. Paul, Man. (Cons.) 0.8% 5. Burnaby-New Westminster, B.C. (NDP) 0.8% 6. Newton-North Delta, B.C. (Cons.) 1.2% 7. Saskatoon-Humboldt, Sask. (Cons.) 1.2% 8. Newmarket-Aurora, Ont. (Libs.) 1.3% (Cons. MP Belinda Stronach later joined the Libs.) 9. Niagara West-Glanbrook, Ont. (Cons.) 1.3% 10. Essex, Ont. (Cons.) 1.6% 11.Timmins-James Bay, Ont. (NDP) 1.8% 12. Sault Ste. Marie, Ont. (NDP) 1.8% 13. Chicoutimi-Le Fjord, Que. (BQ) 1.9% 14. Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia, Man. (Cons.) 1.9% 15. Abitibi-Baie-James-Nunavik-Eeyou, Que. (BQ) 2.0% 16. Burnaby-Douglas, B.C. (NDP) 2.1% 17. Niagara Falls, Ont. (Cons.) 2.2% 18. Halifax, N.S. (NDP) 2.4% 19. Durham, Ont. (Cons.) 2.4% 20. Oshawa, Ont. (Cons.) 2.7% 21. West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Sea to Sky Country, B.C. (Cons.) 2.8%* 22. Haldimand-Norfolk, Ont. (Cons.) 3.3% 23. Dufferin-Caledon, Ont. (Cons.) 3.8% 24. St. John's South-Mount Pearl, Nfld. (Cons.) 4.3% 25. Wellington-Halton Hills, Ont. (Cons.) 4.6% 26. St. John's East, Nfld. (Cons.) 4.8% 27. Prince Edward-Hastings, Ont. (Cons.) 4.8% 28.Toronto-Danforth, Ont. (NDP) 5.0% 29. Churchill, Man. (NDP) 5.1% 30.Vaudreuil-Soulanges, Que. (BQ) 5.5% Conservative Targeted Swing Ridings: 1. Edmonton-Mill Woods-Beaumont, Alta. (Lib.) 0.3%* 2. Lambton-Kent-Middlesex, Ont. (Lib.) 0.3%* 3. Northumberland-Quinte West, Ont. (Lib.) 0.6% 4. Chatham-Kent-Essex, Ont. (Lib.) 0.9%* 5. Edmonton Centre, Alta. (Lib.) 1.4% 6. Ottawa West-Nepean, Ont. (Lib.) 2.4%* 7. Barrie, Ont. (Lib.) 2.6% 8. North Vancouver, B.C. (Lib) 3.6% 9. Ottawa-Orleans, Ont. (Lib) 4.7% 10. Brant, Ont. (Lib.) 5.0% 11. Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale, Ont. (Lib.) 5.1% 12. Nipissing-Timiskaming, Ont. (Lib.) 5.2% 13. Brampton West, Ont. (Lib.) 5.3% 14. Burnaby-New Westminster, B.C. (NDP) 5.4% 15. Hamilton Mountain, Ont. (Lib) 5.5%* 16. Simcoe North, Ont. (Lib.) 5.7%* 17. St. Catharines, Ont. (Lib.) 5.7% 18. Bonavista-Gander-Grand Falls-Windsor, Nfld. (Lib.) 6.6% 19. Burlington, Ont. (Lib.) 6.7% 20. Kitchener-Conestoga, Ont. (Lib.) 6.9% 21. Louis-Saint-Laurent, Que. (BQ) 7.3% 22. Parry Sound-Muskoka, Ont. (Lib.) 7.5% 23.Tobique-Mactaquac, N.B. (Lib.) 8.6% 24. Whitby-Oshawa, Ont. (Lib.) 9.0% 25. Ottawa South, Ont. (Lib.) 9.0% 26. Richmond, B.C. (Lib.) 9.2% 27. West Nova, N.S. (Lib.) 9.6% 28. Saint John, N.B. (Lib.) 9.7% 29. Halton, Ont. (Lib.) 10.0% 30. Glengarry-Prescott-Russell, Ont. (Lib.) 10.4%* Bloc Targeted Swing Ridings: 1. Jeanne-Le Ber, Que. (Lib.) 0.2% 2. Papineau, Que. (Lib.) 1.1% 3. Gatineau, Que. (Lib.) 1.8% 4. Brome-Missisquoi, Que. (Lib.) 2.4% 5. Ahuntsic, Que. (Lib.) 2.5% 6. Brossard-La Prairie, Que. (Lib.) 4.9% 7. Beauce, Que. (Lib.) 5.1%* 8. Honore-Mercier, Que. (Lib.) 5.7% 9. Outremont, Que. (Lib.) 7.7% 10. Pontiac, Que. (Lib.) 9.2% 11. Hull-Aylmer, Que. (Lib.) 9.4% 12. Laval-Les Iles, Que. (Lib.) 10.8% 13. Bourassa, Que. (Lib.) 12.2% NDP Targeted Swing Ridings: 1. Western Arctic, N.W.T. (Lib.) 0.3% 2. New Westminster-Coquitlam, B.C. (Cons.) 0.3% 3. Palliser, Sask. (Cons.) 0.4% 4. Vancouver Island North, B.C. (Cons.) 0.9% 5. Oshawa, Ont. (Cons.) 1.0% 6. Saskatoon-Humboldt, Sask. (Cons.) 1.1% 7. British Columbia Southern Interior, BC (Cons.) 1.5%* 8. Trinity-Spadina, Ont. (Lib.) 1.6% 9. Hamilton East-Stoney Creek, Ont. (Lib.) 1.9% 10. Hamilton Mountain, Ont. (Lib.) 1.9% 11.Vancouver Kingsway, B.C. (Lib.) 3.1% 12. Regina-Qu'Appelle, SK (Cons.) 3.1% 13. Newton-North Delta, BC (Cons.)* 3.6% 14.Victoria, B.C. (Lib.) 3.9%* 15. Kenora, Ont. (Lib.) 4.1% 16. Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca, B.C. (Lib.) 4.7% 17. Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge-Mission, B.C. (Cons.) 5.8% 18. Regina-Lumsden-Lake Centre, Sask. (Cons.) 6.4% 19. Nanaimo-Alberni, B.C. (Cons.) 6.8% 20. Parkdale-High Park, Ont. (Lib.) 7.6% 21. London-Fanshawe, Ont. (Lib.) 7.7%* 22. Nickel Belt, Ont. (Lib.) 7.9% 23.Vancouver Centre, B.C. (Lib.) 8.0% 24. Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar, Sask. (Cons.) 8.6% 25. Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing, Ont. (Lib.) 9.2% 26. Dartmouth-Cole Harbour, N.S. (Lib.) 9.6% 27.Thunder Bay-Rainy River, Ont. (Lib.) 9.7% 28. Welland, Ont. (Lib.) 10.1% 29. Random-Burin-St. George's, Nfld. (Lib.) 13.5% 30.Thunder Bay-Superior North, Ont. (Lib.) 13.7% Source: Wikipedia

Swing Ridings

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